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Non-independent Research Daily Base Metals Report

Non-independent Research

Daily Base Metals Report

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Authors
Liz Grant

Liz Grant IC Account Executive

Contact research Contact Industrial Commodities

Global stock markets plunged today, and crude oil crashed to $27/barrel as a Saudi-led price war erupted. The fight for market share follows the collapse last week of the OPEC+ coalition which has worked to contain production in a market already struggling with weaker demand resulting from the Covid19 virus outbreaks. Dow futures was at one point down over 2,000 points before “limit down” levels were reached, and trading was halted for 15 minutes. Base metals also saw significant falls in volatile conditions with 3m copper down $200 from Fridays close to 5,433 before recovering while gold touched 1,700/oz. The favoured safe-haven currency - the Yen continued to move towards 100 vs USD putting pressure on BOJ to consider rate cuts.


At the time of writing – Dow futures -1,625, 5 pm LME closes were all down.

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COVID cases are rising across the globe as the delta variant spreads, this is causing some nervousness in financial markets, especially with the higher inflation rhetoric. Commodity prices have fallen since the Fed changed their tune inflation, the dollar has stabilised which has also been a headwind to prices. The summer months are traditionally quieter for metals demand which could prompt metals to consolidate. If the delta variant continues to spread, we may see higher levels of stimulus for longer. As things stand stimulus levels are set to be tapered and this could be brought forward if inflation remains high. We expect markets to remain volatile but on lower volume through the summer months.

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