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Daily Base Metals Report

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Stocks in the U.S. have found support today as investors continue to believe the virus is levelling off and becoming under control, however, earnings are a dark cloud for markets. We believe the market will continue to look at virus cases and fatalities for direction. The looming recession could trigger a correction in the long run. Oil prices have softened today, down 5% at the time of writing. This follows the OPEC+ deal which was finalised over the weekend, but the market does not believe the cut has gone far enough.

Prices on the LME continue to rise over fears of supply loss. Estimates for supply loss ranges from 15-25% of global supply. Production at Antamina is expected to re-start in 2 weeks while Cerro Verde is running at limited capacity. Copper prices gained 3% to close on the front foot at $5,163/t with the cash to 3 month remained in contango at $29/t, Tin prices have also found support, closing up $15,457/t. Nickel prices were supported through $11,800/t to $11,889/t, the spreads remain soft at -$78.25/t. Aluminium was also supported today breaking back above $1,500/t to close on the front foot at $1,503.50/t. Zinc and Lead broke above key resistance today with zinc closing above $1,900/t at $1,922.50/t but lead failed above resistance at $1,700/t at $1,695/t.

Gold continued to be well bid to $1,735.60/oz as governments and central banks increase stimulus and investors look to safe havens. Silver prices were also well bid today to $15.75/oz.


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A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

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