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Daily Base Metals Report

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US stocks reached record highs today, after a day off yesterday as investors assessed the continued spread of the infections across the globe. On the political front, Trump stated that he will leave the office once the electoral college affirms Biden’s win, however, has said that he will never formally concede defeat. The dollar softened out to 91.827 and the 10yr yield on US Treasuries fell down to 0.84555%. UK and Europe are set to resume Brexit talks this weekend. Elsewhere, China’s industries’ profits surged at the fastest pace in more than nine years in October, a further sign that China continues to pick up pace.

Increasing risk appetite across LME metals prompted another day of gains. Aluminium prices were well-supported, testing the resistance level at $2,003/t and closed at $1,998.50/t, the cash to 3-month spread has tightened into -$11.50/t. Copper trended higher to test the resistance at $7,500/t before closing below at $7,499.50/t. Lead saw the largest rally to $2,110/t, the highest since November 2019, and closed $2,099/t. Nickel was stronger today, closing at $16,455/t. Zinc prices were on the front foot in the second half of the day, edging up to $2,810/t to closer lower at $2,795/t.

Oil futures traded higher today ahead of the OPEC+ meeting, with WTI and Brent edging up to $45.32/bl and $47.97/bl. Precious metals were mostly down today, and gold and silver trade at $1,785.25/oz and $22.62/oz at the time of writing.

Disclaimer

This is a marketing communication. The information in this report is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be regarded as a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in any particular investment. Please be aware that, where any views have been expressed in this report, the author of this report may have had many, varied views over the past 12 months, including contrary views.

A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

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COVID cases are rising across the globe as the delta variant spreads, this is causing some nervousness in financial markets, especially with the higher inflation rhetoric. Commodity prices have fallen since the Fed changed their tune inflation, the dollar has stabilised which has also been a headwind to prices. The summer months are traditionally quieter for metals demand which could prompt metals to consolidate. If the delta variant continues to spread, we may see higher levels of stimulus for longer. As things stand stimulus levels are set to be tapered and this could be brought forward if inflation remains high. We expect markets to remain volatile but on lower volume through the summer months.