1. Reports
  2. Daily Base Metals Report
Non-independent Research

Daily Base Metals Report

Read disclaimer

U.S. stocks are marginally softer at the time of writing ahead of options expiry tomorrow. We expect equities to be bid following this week. Initial jobless claims in the U.S. were 268,000, with continuing claims coming under expectations at 2.08m. The Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook reached 39, up from 23.8 the previous month in October. The dollar has weakened after failing above 96; the U.S. 10yr yield has weakened to 1.5786%. The dollar and bond yields could struggle if inflation moderates as real yields remain near record lows.

Metals prices were mixed today, and copper prices consolidated as the market continues to find a base following the physical tightness we have seen in the last month. Copper closed at $9,441.5/t, with the cash to 3-month at $14.90/t back. Nickel gained the most ground reaching $19,845/t before closing at $19,639/t. Aluminium recovered from early losses and closed at $2,616/t. Lead and zinc were weaker, closing at $2,215/t and $3,159/t, respectively, with the zinc cash to 3-month spread at $37.50/t back.

Energy prices consolidated today as prices edged higher, but reports around China releasing oil reserves suggest it is only a matter of time. However, if the metals market is anything to go by, they may surprise to the downside. Brent and WTI trade at $80.74/bl and $78.50/1/bl, respectively. Precious metals consolidated.

All price data is from 18.11.2021 as of 17:30



This is a marketing communication. The information in this report is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be regarded as a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in any particular investment. Please be aware that, where any views have been expressed in this report, the author of this report may have had many, varied views over the past 12 months, including contrary views.

A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

This report is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Accordingly, the information may have been acted upon by us for our own purposes and has not been procured for the exclusive benefit of customers. Sucden Financial believes that the information contained within this report is already in the public domain. Private customers should not invest in these products unless they are satisfied that the products are suitable for them and they have sought professional advice. Please read our full risk warnings and disclaimers.

Sign-up to get the latest Non-independent research

We will email you each time a new report has been published.

You might also be interested in...

Daily Report FX

A morning report covering fundamentals and technicals for USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, and CHF.

Daily Report Softs Technical Charts

Technical analysis and charts for the key sugar, cocoa and coffee contracts.

Weekly Report FX Options

Commentary and analysis covering OTC currency option pricing, volatility and positioning.

FX Monthly Report November 2021

Monthly commentary covering the FX markets, providing insights on recent developments on select currency pairs, this month we focus on Turkey. Inflation continues to rise and the Central Bank cut rates, as the Fed starts to become hawkish. The report includes a macroeconomic overview as well as desk comments and technical analysis on key currency pairs.

Quarterly Metals Report – Q4 2021

The global macro picture is starting to present some downside risks in the near term as China's economy is set to slow further and supply-chain bottlenecks continue to cap growth. New orders and new export orders in China are contractionary, and we expect demand in Q4. Order backlogs and lead times for products will continue in Q4, limiting growth, and real consumption is weaker than it looks. Higher costs from shipping, raw materials and energy will take their toll on the consumer, and we expect end-user demand to suffer. The final piece of the jigsaw is the reduction in stimulus from central banks and how that will impact financial markets, bond yields, and the dollar has rallied while stocks corrected, but what will this trend continue?