1. Reports
  2. Daily Base Metals Report
Non-independent Research

Daily Base Metals Report

Read disclaimer

US stocks closed the week on a better note, recovering marginally today after the Fed’s Powell reassured the markets that big rate hikes are off the table. S&P still closed 7% lower in the last two weeks, as the sentiment remained fragile. Indeed, bets of a US recession within the next year are rising, with the probability rising to 30%, according to Bloomberg, the highest level since 2020, as the central bank battles with inflationary pressures. The dollar softened marginally but remained elevated above 104.50, and the 10yr US Treasury yield gained ground for the first time in four days.

A round of mixed metals’ performance on the LME today, as volatility cooled following a turbulent week. Aluminium caught a bit following the continued deterioration of inventory levels, as the on-warrant LME levels breached record lows of 307,000; the metal edged higher to close at $2,788/t. Copper was also seen higher, closing at $9,159/t. Nickel continued to decline, falling below the support level of $27,400/t to $27,262/t, bringing it closer to the ranges traded before the squeeze in March. Lead and zinc softened, closing lower at $2,059/t and $3,489.50/t, respectively.

Oil futures continued to edge higher on the back of tight fundamentals, with WTI and Brent both trading at $110/bl. Diesel exports out of Russia fell sharply in April but below market expectations, suggesting that oil exports still find their way out of Russia. Precious metals were mixed; gold and silver traded at $1,809/oz and $20.97/oz, respectively.

For more in-depth analysis of base and precious metals, please see our Quarterly Metals report.

All price data is from 13.05.2022 as of 17:30


This is a marketing communication. The information in this report is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be regarded as a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in any particular investment. Please be aware that, where any views have been expressed in this report, the author of this report may have had many, varied views over the past 12 months, including contrary views.

A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

This report is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Accordingly, the information may have been acted upon by us for our own purposes and has not been procured for the exclusive benefit of customers. Sucden Financial believes that the information contained within this report is already in the public domain. Private customers should not invest in these products unless they are satisfied that the products are suitable for them and they have sought professional advice. Please read our full risk warnings and disclaimers.

Sign-up to get the latest Non-independent research

We will email you each time a new report has been published.

You might also be interested in...

Daily Report FX

A morning report covering fundamentals and technicals for USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, and CHF.

Daily Report Softs Technical Charts

Technical analysis and charts for the key sugar, cocoa and coffee contracts.

Weekly Report FX Options

Our FX Options Report contains commentary and analysis covering OTC currency option pricing, volatility and positioning. This week’s focus is on EURPLN and the currency trajectory following the deteriorating economic outlook in Europe and rising rates in Poland.

FX Monthly Report May 2022

Monthly commentary covering the FX markets, providing insights on recent developments on select currency pairs. This month we look at the current inflation outlook across LATAM, Europe, U.S. and U.K. and gauge if central banks will slow their rate hikes. Economic data is weakening and China's poor growth and woeful demand could impact policy makers' decisions. 

Quarterly Metals Report – Q1 2022

Our analysts provide in-depth analysis into the current macroeconomic conditions and how near-term choppiness may subside in the coming months, once the Fed has confirmed its stance on Monetary Policy. The backwardated spreads in the metals market outline the tightness, and the geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine could compound tightness in Europe due to lower energy, metals, and grain exports.