1. Reports
  2. Daily Base Metals Report
Non-independent Research

Daily Base Metals Report

Read disclaimer

US stocks continued their decline, driven by expectations from the central banks across the world to continue their tightening cycle amidst persistent inflation. US companies increased jobs by the fewest amount since early 2021 in August, according to revamped ADP figures, which suggests that hiring is slowing. All eyes now turn to the Friday’s non-farm payroll numbers. The dollar edged lower, while the 10yr US Treasury yield continued to trace higher into 3.12%. Meanwhile, Eurozone inflation increased to another record in August, growing by 9.1% y/y, further strengthening the case for the ECB to hike rates this year. The swaps are now pricing in a 125bps hike by October.

The downside momentum prevailed on the LME market from yesterday, only with nickel seeing a slight rebound day-on-day; it settled at $21,411/t by the end of the day. Aluminium held up above the support at $2,400/t; however, it later breached this level down to $2,359/t. Likewise, copper was supported by $7,900/t as it was seen edging higher, but downside momentum brought the metal to $7,801.50/t. Chile reported an 8.6% y/y decline in production in July, following a 7.0% drop in June. Water restrictions presented some headwinds for producers. To encourage investment into the industry, the government is said to be willing to hold discussions over proposed tax hikes to help distribute wealth. Lead and zinc closed lower at $1,950/t and $3,459.50/t, respectively.

Oil futures closed another month on the back foot, with today’s move largely attributed to diminishing global demand prospects. WTI and Brent now trade at $90/bl and $96/bl. Precious metals behaved in a similar manner, as both gold and silver edged down to $1,719/oz and $18.13/oz, respectively.

For more in-depth analysis of base and precious metals, our Q3 2022 Quarterly Metals report is out now!

All price data is from 31.08.2022 as of 17:30


This is a marketing communication. The information in this report is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be regarded as a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in any particular investment. Please be aware that, where any views have been expressed in this report, the author of this report may have had many, varied views over the past 12 months, including contrary views.

A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

This report is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Accordingly, the information may have been acted upon by us for our own purposes and has not been procured for the exclusive benefit of customers. Sucden Financial believes that the information contained within this report is already in the public domain. Private customers should not invest in these products unless they are satisfied that the products are suitable for them and they have sought professional advice. Please read our full risk warnings and disclaimers.

Sign-up to get the latest Non-independent research

We will email you each time a new report has been published.

You might also be interested in...

Daily Report FX

A morning report covering fundamentals and technicals for USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, and CHF.

Daily Report Softs Technical Charts

Technical analysis and charts for the key sugar, cocoa and coffee contracts.

Weekly Report FX Options

Our FX Options Report contains commentary and analysis covering OTC currency option pricing, volatility and positioning. This week’s focus is on USDCNH and the currency's trajectory as Chinese economies continues to show weakness despite stimulus attempts from the government and the PBOC.

FX Monthly Report August 2022

Monthly commentary covering the FX markets, providing insights on recent developments on select currency pairs. This month we look into the EUR and the pressure the ECB is under to continue tightening monetary policy as USD continues to strengthen against major currencies. Economic data is weakening and inflation remains a concern. 

Quarterly Metals Report – Q3 2022

Our analysts provide an in-depth analysis of the metals market and current macroeconomic conditions. The environment has weakened significantly as growth fears rise amid persistent high inflation. Central banks are data-dependent, which could mean they slow rate hikes as growth starts to slow. This has meant a downside to the US 10yr yield, but also we see a downside to rate hikes in Q4. Europe will likely enter a recession before the US and take longer to recover, but material availability is significantly lower, shown by low inventories.