1. Reports
  2. Daily Softs Technical Charts

Non-independent Research Daily Softs Technical Charts

Non-independent Research

Daily Softs Technical Charts

Read disclaimer

NY 2nd Month Sugar Futures

NY futures held their nerve on Friday after support and resistance were tested. The market managed to close above the 100 DMA and 12, at 12.04. The stochastics are starting to soften suggesting lower prices in the near term. The MACD diff is also converging in positive territory, the softening indicators suggest we could see lower prices in the near term. The long-legged doji suggests indecision in the market but the close back above support at 12.04 and 12 keeps momentum on the upside for the time being but prices need to close back above 12.40 in order to regain upside traction. On the downside, selling pressure is increasing and a close below the 10 DMA would improve downside impetus. Trend support is the secondary level at 11.50 and a break here would set the scene for lower prices to 11.

Ldn 2nd Month Sugar Futures

Ldn futures consolidated on Friday after failing to take root above 373. The market closed at 368. The indicators are starting to weaken suggesting lower prices in the term. The stochastics are falling and have given a sell signal, the MACD diff is converging and to confirm downside sentiment, futures need to close below the 100 DMA and then the 38.2% fib level at 354.83. The rejection of higher prices on Friday could trigger losses in the near term. On the upside, appetite for prices below the 23.6% could trigger gains back towards 380. In the longer run, futures need to break above 386.80 to help confirm the trend on the upside. In the immediate term, we expect futures we weaken towards trend support but if this level holds firm, the case for higher prices, in the long run, would improve.

NY 2nd Month Coffee Futures

NY futures buckled on Friday as prices failed into 99.50 causing a close at 97. The indicators are on the back foot as the stochastics are falling, the ADX is rising to outline the trend. The MACD diff lacks conviction as the RSI is also negative, to confirm the outlook of lower prices, we need to see a break of support at 95.80. Secondary support stands at 93 before the psychological level at 90. Support at 95 has held firm in recent weeks and this could trigger gains towards 100 in, however, futures have failed above this level in recent weeks, keeping the descending triangle intact. To regain upside traction and indicate a rejection of the descending triangle, prices need to break above 100 and then target 105.80. The repeated failure into 100 suggests we could see futures weaken in the near term.

Ldn 2nd Month Coffee Futures

Ldn futures edged lower on Friday as intraday trading saw prices fail into 1250 before breaking back below support of the 100 and 10 DMAs. The market closed at 1212. The stochastics are falling and the MACD diff is converging on the downside suggesting lower prices, a break of support at the 40 DMA and trend support could trigger losses to 1150 in the medium term. The trend in the near term is on the upside as dips have been well supported suggesting higher prices in the medium term.  The rejection of higher prices and an inverted hammer on Friday improved downside impetus. Conversely, if prices hold above trend support, futures could break towards the 100 DMA but we saw strong resistance for prices above this level last week. Friday’s candle and the weakening indicators suggest lower prices.

NY 2nd Month Cocoa Futures

NY futures took back some of the previous day’s losses on Friday to but failed into previous trend resistance and closed at 2319. The stochastics are falling towards oversold and the MACD diff lacks conviction, this could prompt the market to weaken in the near term towards 2250, the more robust level stands at 2200. On the upside, appetite for prices below 2300 have kept prices supported but futures need to regain a footing above the 40 DMA at 2374 in order to improve the outlook on the upside. In the longer run, the 100 DMA is a key level that needs to be breached to suggest a change in trend.

Ldn 2nd Month Cocoa Futures

Ldn cocoa futures were bid below 1730 on Friday but failed into 1750 causing a close at 1745. The MACD diff is negative but is not diverging, the ADX is rising and the stochastics are falling suggesting we could see lower prices. The near term trend is firmly on the downside and the close below 1750 on Friday failed to improve the outlook the upside. We expect a continuation of the trend, a break below 1700 would confirm protracted selling pressure and a rejection of the triple bottom. On the upside, futures need to hold above resistance at 1750.



This is a marketing communication. The information in this report is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be regarded as a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in any particular investment. Please be aware that, where any views have been expressed in this report, the author of this report may have had many, varied views over the past 12 months, including contrary views.

A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

This report is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Accordingly, the information may have been acted upon by us for our own purposes and has not been procured for the exclusive benefit of customers. Sucden Financial believes that the information contained within this report is already in the public domain. Private customers should not invest in these products unless they are satisfied that the products are suitable for them and they have sought professional advice. Please read our full risk warnings and disclaimers.

Sign-up to get the latest Non-independent research

We will email you each time a new report has been published.

You might also be interested in...

Daily Report FX

A morning report covering fundamentals and technicals for USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, and CHF.

Weekly Report FX Options

Our FX Options Report contains commentary and analysis covering OTC currency option pricing, volatility and positioning. 

Daily Report Base Metals

Our daily commentary, covering market news and closing prices of LME aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, tin, zinc, iron ore, steel, and precious metals.

Quarterly Metals Report – Q3 2022

Our analysts provide an in-depth analysis of the metals market and current macroeconomic conditions. The environment has weakened significantly as growth fears rise amid persistent high inflation. Central banks are data-dependent, which could mean they slow rate hikes as growth starts to slow. This has meant a downside to the US 10yr yield, but also we see a downside to rate hikes in Q4. Europe will likely enter a recession before the US and take longer to recover, but material availability is significantly lower, shown by low inventories.

FX Monthly Report June 2022

Monthly commentary covering the FX markets, providing insights on recent developments on select currency pairs. This month we look into the JPY and the pressure the BOJ is under to change their monetary policy as JPY continues to weaken against major currencies. Economic data is weakening and inflation is less of a problem in Japan, but yields continue to test the cap.