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Non-independent Research Daily Softs Technical Charts

Non-independent Research

Daily Softs Technical Charts

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NY 2nd Month Sugar Futures

NY sugar futures edged higher yesterday as intraday trading saw prices tested support at 17.00. The market closed at 16.88. The RSI is rising, and %K/%D is converging on the downside in the overbought territory. The MACD diff is positive and converging, suggesting waning buying pressure. The indicators point to lower prices in the near term, and to confirm the rejection of the support; prices need to take out 16.55, the previous day’s lows. A break below this level towards 10 DMA at 16.17 would confirm the strong bearish momentum. Conversely, appetite for prices above the 17.00 level could trigger a test of resistance at 17.52. A doji candle as part of the three white soldiers formation signals uncertainty about the outlook for higher prices, and the futures need to take out the 17.00 to confirm the bullish sentiment.

Ldn 2nd Month Sugar Futures

Ldn sugar futures consolidated yesterday as protracted buying pressure prompted a close at 457.80. The stochastics are rising, yet seen converging in the overbought, and the MACD diff is positive but lacks conviction. The bullish candle could set the scene for higher prices, a break of resistance at 460 could trigger gains towards 469.50, February highs. The stochastics are in the overbought, and a new high would help confirm the trend and outlook for higher prices. However, prices have failed above 460 before, and this could set the scene for lower prices to 452.80 and then 449.60. A break of 10 DMA at 446.32 would help confirm the rejection of the double top at 460, a break here would set the scene for lower prices towards 40 DMA level. We expect prices to consolidate recent gains today and remain on the front foot.

NY 2nd Month Coffee Futures

NY coffee strengthened yesterday, as protracted buying pressure triggered a close on the front foot at 136.15. The stochastics are rising, with %K/%D is diverging on the upside in the overbought. The MACD diff is positive and diverging. A narrow bullish candle body with a long lower wick suggests growing buying pressures; this could set the scene for higher prices to break above the resistance at 136.15. This would confirm the trend for rising prices, up to the 140 level before 140.45, February highs. On the downside, a breach of support at 10 DMA 132.77 would help confirm the bearish momentum. This could also trigger losses towards the 131. Indicators point to higher prices, but if prices struggle above current resistance today, futures can be seen lower in the near term.  

Ldn 2nd Month Coffee Futures

Ldn coffee futures edged lower yesterday as prices tested 40 DMA before closing at 1408. The indicators continue to favour the upside, yet %K/%D is seen converging in the overbought area, suggesting softer buying pressures. A break below the 40 DMA at 1396 would bring into play the recent sessions’ trend support level at 1385; this would help create the hanging man formation. Prices have been relatively well supported above 10 DMA at 1386, and in order to indicate an improvement of market sentiment on the upside, futures need to gain a footing above the previous day’s highs at 1414 and then target 1420 in the near term, a firm resistance level. The break above that resistance level would confirm the outlook for higher prices.

NY 2nd Month Cocoa Futures

NY cocoa futures held their nerve yesterday as intraday trading caused the market to close at 2442. The stochastics are falling, and the MACD diff is positive and converging, suggesting lower prices in the near term. The RSI is also falling; to confirm the outlook of lower prices, futures need to close back below 2434 and then target a 38.2% fib level at 2414. The 40 DMA is starting to close in and resisting prices on the upside. However, a break above that level could set the scene for a 50% fib level at 2513. Two narrow-bodied candles with long wicks in the last couple of sessions point to market uncertainty, and the futures need to break out of current resistance/support to confirm the longer-term outlook.

Ldn 2nd Month Cocoa Futures

Ldn cocoa futures failed above 2300 once again yesterday as prices closed at 2279. The stochastics are rising, with %K/%D edging towards the overbought territory. The MACD is positive and diverging, pointing to higher prices in the near term. The rejection of higher prices may prompt a break back towards trend support at 2255, a subsequent breach of this level could trigger losses towards 38.2% fib level at 2211. On the upside, a break of 2300 and 50% fib level at 2301 may prompt futures to retest last sessions’ highs at 2323. A subsequent breach of this level would prompt prices to regain upside momentum in the near term. Long upper and short lower wicks point to an appetite for higher prices; however, the majority of trading took place at prices below. The future needs to break above 2300 to confirm the outlook on the upside.



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A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

This report is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Accordingly, the information may have been acted upon by us for our own purposes and has not been procured for the exclusive benefit of customers. Sucden Financial believes that the information contained within this report is already in the public domain. Private customers should not invest in these products unless they are satisfied that the products are suitable for them and they have sought professional advice. Please read our full risk warnings and disclaimers.

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