1. Reports
  2. Daily Softs Technical Charts

Non-independent Research Daily Softs Technical Charts

Non-independent Research

Daily Softs Technical Charts

Read disclaimer

NY 2nd Month Sugar Futures

NY sugar prices gained ground yesterday, triggering a close below the resistance level of 40 DMA at 19.39. The stochastics favour the upside, with the %K/%D seen diverging on the upside while about to enter the overbought territory, suggesting we could see prices improve in the near term. The MACD diff is positive and diverging, pointing to an improved outlook. The RSI is rising, and yesterday’s candle suggests we could see prices break above 40 DMA at 19.48 in the near term. In the medium term, futures need to hold above that level and then target 20.00 – last week’s highs. On the downside, a break below the 10 and 100 DMA support levels at 19.14 could trigger losses back to 18.64. The candle’s close above the previous day’s highs confirms that there is an appetite for higher prices, however, futures need to gain ground above near term resistance to confirm the outlook.

Ldn 2nd Month Sugar Futures

Ldn sugar futures strengthened marginally yesterday as moderate buying pressure triggered a close at 502.20. The RSI is rising, while %K/%D diverging on the upside. The MACD diff, however, is negative and struggles to point an outlook. On the upside, appetite above the 40 DMA level at 505.40 could trigger gains through 510 towards 520. On the downside, a complete break below the 10 DMA at the 501.23 level could trigger losses back towards 500. That level has been supporting futures prices, and a break below it would signal strong selling pressure. Longer upper wick signals appetite for higher prices, but futures struggled above 40 DMA to close higher.

NY 2nd Month Coffee Futures

NY coffee futures opened above a key support level of 210, but weakness prevailed during the day to close lower at 211.45. The RSI is falling, and %K is seen tailing off close to the overbought territory. The MACD diff is negative and about to converge on the upside, suggesting waning selling pressures. The indicators point to higher prices in the near term before a change of trend, and to confirm the rejection of the support; prices need to take out 209.65. A break below this level towards the 10 DMA level at 207.77 would confirm the stronger bearish momentum. Conversely, appetite for prices above the 214.80 level could trigger a test of 217.85; tertiary resistance stands at 220. A spinning top candle after a bearish one confirms uncertainty about the outlook for trend reversal.

Ldn 2nd Month Coffee Futures

Ldn coffee futures weakened yesterday but failed to break below the support level at 10 DMA and closed higher at 2204. The stochastics have converged on the downside, a clear sell signal. The MACD diff is negative and diverging. A break below 10 DMA at 2213 may pave the way for lower prices to 2173 with the tertiary level at 40 DMA at 2145. Conversely, the reaffirmation of support above 10 DMA would suggest higher prices and a close above 2279, setting the scene for higher prices towards 2300. Yesterday’s bearish engulfing suggests an appetite for lower prices and could trigger a break of support today. The indicators are pointing to a further decline in prices in the near term. 

NY 2nd Month Cocoa Futures

NY cocoa futures gained ground yesterday, as intraday trading prompted a test of support at 2466. The market closed at 2482. The stochastics are falling in the oversold but show signs of convergence, and the MACD diff is negative and diverging on the downside, suggesting bearish momentum in the near term. The prices have been supported above the 61.8% fib level at 2466. The fall below this level could trigger losses through 2436 and 2400. On the upside, a breach back above the resistance at 200 DMA at 2506 would bring into play the recent firm resistance of 50% fib level at 2534, confirming an inverse hammer formation. The indicators point to lower prices in the near term, but we need to see a break of near term support to confirm the trend.

Ldn 2nd Month Cocoa Futures

Ldn cocoa futures held their nerve yesterday, causing the market to close at 1682. The stochastics are converging in the oversold, with %K/%D converging on the upside, and the MACD diff is negative and converging. To confirm the outlook of higher prices, futures need to close back above 50% fib level at 1691 and then target 200 DMA at 1704. The 200 DMA is closing in and providing resistance for prices on the upside. If this holds firm, a break below that level could set the scene for a 38.2% fib level at 1662. A narrow candle body with a long upper wick points to a potential change in trend in the near term, and if the futures break above the 200 DMA, this would confirm the further bullish momentum.

Contents

Disclaimer

This is a marketing communication. The information in this report is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be regarded as a recommendation to buy, sell or otherwise deal in any particular investment. Please be aware that, where any views have been expressed in this report, the author of this report may have had many, varied views over the past 12 months, including contrary views.

A large number of views are being generated at all times and these may change quickly. Any valuations or underlying assumptions made are solely based upon the author’s market knowledge and experience.

Please contact the author should you require a copy of any previous reports for comparative purposes. Furthermore, the information in this report has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. All information in this report is obtained from sources believed to be reliable and we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

This report is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. Accordingly, the information may have been acted upon by us for our own purposes and has not been procured for the exclusive benefit of customers. Sucden Financial believes that the information contained within this report is already in the public domain. Private customers should not invest in these products unless they are satisfied that the products are suitable for them and they have sought professional advice. Please read our full risk warnings and disclaimers.

Sign-up to get the latest Non-independent research

We will email you each time a new report has been published.

You might also be interested in...

Daily Report FX

A morning report covering fundamentals and technicals for USD, EUR, GBP, JPY, and CHF.

Daily Report Base Metals

Our daily commentary, covering market news and closing prices of LME aluminium, copper, lead, nickel, tin, zinc, iron ore, steel, and precious metals.

Weekly Report FX Options

Our FX Options Report contains commentary and analysis covering OTC currency option pricing, volatility and positioning. This week’s focus is on EURCNH and the currency trajectory following deteriorating lockdown conditions in China. 

FX Monthly Report March 2022

Monthly commentary covering the FX markets, providing insights on recent developments on select currency pairs.

This month we focus on Brazil and how its currency has performed so far this year, and the key trends for 2022. Inflationary pressures are evident across the globe, but the Brazilian government is keeping fuel prices artificially low, to the detriment of Petrobras.

Quarterly Metals Report – Q1 2022

Our analysts provide in-depth analysis into the current macroeconomic conditions and how near-term choppiness may subside in the coming months, once the Fed has confirmed its stance on Monetary Policy. The backwardated spreads in the metals market outline the tightness, and the geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine could compound tightness in Europe due to lower energy, metals, and grain exports.