Summary
- Earnings season in full swing, with Big Tech results in focus
- Base metals held their nerve as prices appear to be peaking, potentially leading to a cautious correction in the near term.
- US inflation and jobs data awaited amid fragile sentiment
Macro
US stocks opened higher today, mirroring the positive tone seen in Japanese and European markets. The week ahead will be dominated by earnings, with around 180 S&P 500 companies set to report their quarterly results. Big Tech will be in sharp focus, with Apple, Amazon, Meta and Microsoft all due to release their figures over the coming days. On the macroeconomic front, attention will turn to Wednesday’s release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the PCE index—which will provide a snapshot of underlying price pressures before the full impact of recent tariffs begins to filter through. In currency markets, the dollar index softened, hovering just above 99.2. Meanwhile, the 10-year US Treasury yield traded around 4.25%, reflecting ongoing caution ahead of this week’s key data releases.
Base Metals
Base metals opened the week on a cautious note, continuing from last week’s moderate gains. With prices struggling above near-term resistance levels, there are signs that metals – in particular, copper – are reaching the top end of the range and might start to cautiously correct in the near future. Given that the rest of the complex has been closely shadowing copper, we could see modest losses across the complex. However, the cost of production levels remain robust support levels and should help cap any protracted losses in the near term. In the meantime, copper struggled above the $9,400/t resistance, prompting it to edge lower to $9,378/t. Aluminium was also weaker, approaching the $2,400/t support level. Nickel and lead held above their respective support levels of $15,500/t and $1,950/t, respectively.
Precious Metals and Oil
Gold rebounded later in the session, trading around $3,330/oz, while silver edged lower to $33.0/oz. Oil prices softened, with WTI and Brent slipping to $62.1/bbl and $65.9/bbl, respectively.
All price data is from 28.04.2025 as of 17:30