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Monthly FX Outlook

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Expert in-depth currency insights

Our monthly FX report provides commentary and analysis on major currency pairs, including a macroeconomic overview from our research team and unique insights and trading strategies from our FX desk. In addition, the report includes technical analysis of key currency pairs.

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Monthly FX Outlook – Lira Focus

Since Trump's inauguration in late January, the euro has advanced by more than 13% against the dollar, reaching a September 2021 high of 1.18 in July. Despite the administration's earlier attempts to support domestic production through reciprocal tariffs implemented in April, the tide has turned away from the US towards other economies perceived as offering more stable institutional and policy environments. While the euro's current position within the global currency market is encouraging, the pace of the recent shift away from the dollar prompts us to assess the potential turning point for EUR/USD in this month's FX Monthly. 

FX

The lira has been on a relentless downward path in 2025, shedding almost 15% since the start of the year. With US rates still dominating global flows, can Turkey’s improving fundamentals and easing inflation narrative stabilise USDTRY in the months ahead?
FX Monthly Report - Lira Focus

Monthly FX Outlook Archive

July 2025 – Euro Focus
May 2025 – Japan Focus
April 2025 – GBP Focus
March 2025 – Canada & Mexico Focus
February 2025 – Gold Focus

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