Summary
- US dollar firms after strong PMI data
- Base metals edged lower as markets struggled above the near-term resistance levels.
- Gold eases as yields rise; oil falls on OPEC supply concerns
Macro
US stocks opened on a volatile footing Thursday, as markets digested the broader implications of President Trump’s new tax legislation, which cleared Congress earlier in the day. The bill renews a suite of individual tax relief measures first introduced in 2017, including reductions to personal income tax rates, a larger child tax credit, and exemptions on service-related earnings such as tips and overtime pay. While designed to stimulate consumption, the extension has reignited concerns over ballooning fiscal deficits. The 10-year US Treasury yield briefly climbed above 4.6% as bond markets reacted to the growing supply outlook.
PMI readings offered a mixed view across major economies. In the eurozone, manufacturing activity improved marginally to 49.4, but services slipped into contraction at 48.9. The UK mirrored this divergence, with manufacturing down at 45.1, while services rebounded back into expansion at 50.2. In contrast, the US posted stronger-than-expected results on both fronts. Manufacturing rose from 50.2 to 52.3, and services also advanced to 52.3, lifting the dollar index back toward the 100 level against both sterling and the euro.
Base Metals
Base metals finished the day on a slightly weaker footing as markets struggled to breach the near-term resistance levels, prompting a modest retreat. Copper traded below the $9,500/t level for majority of the day, as aluminium edged lower to $2,456/t. Lead and zinc held their nerve above the $1,950/t and $2,700/t support levels, respectively.
Precious Metals and Oil
Higher Treasury yields weighed on precious metals. Gold slipped to $3,285/oz after a brief run of gains, while silver also declined, trading below 3$2.90/oz. Oil prices moved lower amid speculation that OPEC may raise production quotas at its next meeting. WTI and Brent were last seen at $61.0/bbl and $64.3/bbl, respectively.
All price data is from 22.05.2025 as of 17:30