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Tin Outlook

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Expert tin market insights

Our quarterly tin outlook is published in our Quarterly Metals Report, which covers base, precious and ferrous metals. The impact of supply and demand fundamentals and macroeconomic implications for the tin futures and spot prices are analysed. Our research team produce a tin price range forecast as part of the report.

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Tin Outlook – Q3 2024

Tin prices have been highly volatile in the last quarter, driven by increased speculative interest and supply tightness. Fundamental supply constraints due to Indonesia's backlog in issuing new licenses and Myanmar's tin ban have significantly tightened the market. Despite recent price declines, ongoing supply issues and potential speculative interest suggest that tin prices could rebound above $30,000/t.

Metals

As we head into Q3 2024, the markets are dealing with a different reality than what was initially expected at the beginning of the year. With Biden stepping out of the US Presidential Race, all eyes are likely to stay focused on the US until November. Additionally, there is a growing case for an increasing number of interest rate cuts this year, with major banks expected to start the cutting cycle by the end of this quarter. While this should help alleviate some of the pressures felt by the commodity space, China's muted economic performance is weighing on the base metals’ narrative. From September onward, we expect macroeconomic factors to relieve some of the pressures on the commodity market, leading to a modest increase in the latter part of Q3. We expect Q4 to bring greater market volatility.
Quarterly Metals Report

Quarterly Metals Report Archive

Tin Outlook – Q2 2022
Tin Outlook – Q1 2022
Tin Outlook – Q4 2021
Tin Outlook – Q3 2021
Tin Outlook – Q2 2021
Tin Outlook – Q1 2021
Tin Outlook – Q4 2020
Tin Outlook – Q3 2020
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