Summary
- US consumer confidence drops to a three-year low, adding to economic uncertainty.
- Base metals extend gains, with copper surging past $10,000/t amid improved risk sentiment.
- Gold and silver rise as a weaker dollar and higher copper prices boost demand.
Macro
US stocks extended their gains at the open, building on yesterday’s momentum despite fresh signs of economic weakness. Consumer confidence fell sharply in March, dropping from 98.3 to 92.9—its lowest level since early 2021—reflecting heightened concerns over rising prices and the economic impact of escalating trade tensions. The dollar weakened against major currencies, pushing the dollar index below 104.1, while the 10-year US Treasury yield also declined, standing at 4.3% after giving up some of yesterday’s gains.
Base Metals
Base metals posted a strong session, with copper breaking above the key $10,000/t level, rising to $10,110.50/t as improved risk appetite fuelled demand. Tin led the gains, jumping over 2% to $35,050/t as supply concerns resurfaced. Lead extended its rally, climbing to $2,073/t, while nickel rebounded to $16,180/t, recovering some of last week’s losses. Zinc also edged higher to $2,967.50/t. Aluminium lagged the broader trend, slipping slightly to $2,611.50/t amid ongoing weak demand signals.
Precious and Oil
Gold rebounded to $3,023/oz, supported by a softer dollar and declining Treasury yields, while silver saw an even stronger move, climbing above $33.6/oz, partly driven by copper’s rally. The correlation between copper and silver often stems from their dual role as industrial and investment metals—rising copper prices can indicate stronger economic activity, which in turn boosts silver’s industrial demand. Oil prices softened slightly after yesterday’s rally, with WTI at $68.7/bbl and Brent at $72.7/bbl.
All price data is from 25.03.2025 as of 17:30