Summary
- Dollar weakness persists
- Base metals remained rangebound, with copper as the only exception as it continues to edge higher.
- Gold hits record highs, while oil struggles to find clear direction
Macro
US stocks opened higher today as investor sentiment continued to stabilise following weeks of volatility triggered by the “Liberation Day” tariff turmoil. Focus remains on corporate earnings, with Tesla’s results due later today. The electric carmaker is expected to post a weak performance after a 13% YoY decline in Q1 vehicle deliveries, pressured by rising competition from Chinese EV manufacturers. Investor confidence has also been shaken by CEO Elon Musk’s increasingly political stance and close association with President Trump, raising reputational concerns. The 10-year US Treasury yield dipped slightly to just below 4.4%, with broader market volatility still elevated, though recent sessions suggest a slow return to more stable conditions. The dollar index firmed modestly to 98.5, still hovering near a three-year low. Appetite for the greenback has been eroded in the last few weeks by a series of controversial comments from President Trump, including the most recent threats to dismiss Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This has bolstered demand for traditional safe-haven currencies, particularly gold.
Base Metals
Base metals remained mostly rangebound today, supported by a weaker dollar that helped stabilise prices at current levels. However, a lack of a change in market fundamentals is also capping prices on the upside. Copper is the notable exception, continuing to edge higher and opening above the $9,300/t mark before approaching $9,369/t by the end of the day. The rest of the complex remained subdued. Aluminium remained below the $2,400/t resistance level, as lead and zinc held their nerve at $1,923.50/t and $2,596/t, respectively. Nickel reaffirmed its support at $15,500/t.
Precious Metals and Oil
Gold prices hit fresh record highs, briefly testing $3,500/oz before consolidating around $3,450/oz. The yellow metal continues to draw strong safe-haven flows in response to political uncertainty and a weaker dollar. Silver remained volatile, hovering below the $32.9/oz mark. Oil prices edged higher, with WTI at $64.0/bbl and Brent at $67.0/bbl—still around 10% lower year-to-date as recessionary risks and demand uncertainty weigh on the outlook.
All price data is from 22.04.2025 as of 17:30