Summary
- Softer US inflation keeps risk appetite buoyant as dollar retreats.
- Despite a lack of strong macroeconomic or fundamental drivers, gains in base metals still look constructive from a speculative standpoint.
- Gold stabilises after sharp drop; oil extends recovery on improved tone.
Macro:
US equities were mixed on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq extending gains on the back of yesterday’s US–China trade optimism, while the Dow Jones slipped. US April inflation data surprised slightly to the downside, with annual CPI easing to 2.3% from 2.4%—the lowest since February 2021. The decline was driven by lower petrol prices and softer food-at-home costs. Still, with tariffs set to raise the cost of imported goods in the coming months, inflation may soon edge higher. The dollar index eased to 101.2, as the euro and pound clawed back some of Monday’s sharp losses. US Treasury yields remained elevated, with the 10-year holding around 4.46%, steady after yesterday’s post-deal repricing.
Base Metals:
Base metals continued to show cautious optimism today, testing the near-term resistance levels. While the intraday moves remain moderate due to the absence of a strong fundamental or macroeconomic trigger, the fact that prices continue to edge higher suggests a constructive sentiment from a speculative perspective. In the meantime, copper is hovering above the recent resistance level of $9,582/t at $9,603/t, as aluminium is approaching the $2,500/t mark. Lead and zinc edged higher, with the latter breaking above the $2,700/t resistance level. Nickel held firmly above $15,500/t.
Precious Metals and Oil:
Gold rebounded slightly from Monday’s sharp decline, with bargain-buying lifting prices to $3,245/oz. Silver extended gains, pushing toward the $33.0/oz level. Oil prices continued to edge higher, with WTI and Brent at $63.0/bbl and $65.9/bbl respectively, supported by firmer sentiment.
All price data is from 13.05.2025 as of 17:30