Summary
- US stocks rise on trade talk optimism; UK labour market shows weakness.
- Base metals performance was mixed, with each metal trading in line with its own market dynamics.
- Gold edges up while silver's rally concludes.
Macro
US stocks rose at the opening, as investor focus remained on the ongoing US-China trade negotiations in London. This second round of talks is being closely watched for any signs of a breakthrough in the tariff dispute. The dollar index continued its downward trend, failing to hold above the 99.0 level. The 10-year Treasury yield traded slightly lower at 4.46%.
Meanwhile, fresh UK jobs data released today indicated a softening labour market. The unemployment rate rose to 4.6% in the three months ending April, up from 4.5% in the preceding three-month period, reaching its highest level since summer 2021. This rise was accompanied by a drop in job vacancies and an increase in jobless claims. The uptick in unemployment is in line with economists’ expectations and comes as businesses in the UK grapple with higher national insurance contributions and a rise in the minimum wage, both of which took effect in April as part of Chancellor Rachel Reeves' October Budget.
Base Metals
Base metals were mixed today, as a lack of macroeconomic catalysts left prices to move according to their own fundamental drivers. Copper remained cautiously bullish, edging higher to retest yesterday’s highs of $9,800/t before settling slightly lower on the day at $9,756.50/t. Aluminium gained moderate momentum, nearing the $2,500/t resistance and closing at $2,492.50/t. Lead and zinc held their nerve at $1,981.50/t and $2,657.50/t, respectively. Meanwhile, nickel continued to weaken as prices were capped by the $15,500/t mark, causing the metal to soften to $15,318/t.
Precious Metals and Oil
Gold edged slightly higher, trading at $3,333/oz. The rally in silver and platinum, however, concluded, with silver softening slightly to $36.5/oz after touching $36.8/oz. Oil prices saw an increase, with WTI and Brent last recorded at $66.0/bbl and $67.7/bbl, respectively.
All price data is from 10.06.2025 as of 17:30