1. Metals Outlook
  2. Daily Base Metals Report
Daily Base Metals Report

Silicon Surge vs. Tariff Tension

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Summary

  • Nvidia hits $4 trn, buoying equities
  • Copper’s spike fades; aluminium steady, zinc higher, others mixed.
  • Gold inches up, silver slips

Macro:

US stocks opened on the front foot after Nvidia became the first listed company to top $4 trillion in value, underscoring the market’s conviction in the long-run earnings power of AI. The tech-led bid outweighed lingering tariff anxiety: President Trump confirmed that a further seven “reciprocal-tariff” notice letters will be dispatched today and reiterated that 1 August is the final deadline for countries yet to reach a deal, stressing that “no extensions will be granted”. The dollar index oscillated around 97.6, unable to build on Tuesday’s strength, while the US 10-year Treasury yield slipped back below 4.4%.
In China, producer-price deflation deepened to its most pronounced level in nearly two years during June, highlighting slack domestic demand and the drag from the global trade dispute. Consumer prices inched into positive territory for the first time in five months, but the uptick was negligible (0.1% YoY) as the protracted property downturn continued to undercut household spending. The latest data pile additional pressure on Beijing to deliver fresh policy support.

Base metals:

A record spike in COMEX copper on Tuesday evening following the President’s tariff warning proved fleeting. On the LME, the metal reversed, sliding to $9,630 /t, with traders concluding that higher import duties would ultimately crimp US demand rather than tighten supply. Aluminium was relatively resilient, inching up to $2,599 /t. Zinc outperformed, jumping to $2,743 /. Lead drifted to $2,054 /t, nickel eased below $15,000 /t, and tin edged lower to $33,280 /t.

Precious metals and oil:

Gold reclaimed a fraction of lost ground, ticking up to $3,310/oz, while silver extended its retreat to $36.40 /oz. Crude traded sideways, leaving WTI hovering near $68.40/bbl and Brent around $70.10/bbl.

All price data is from 09.07.2025 as of 17:30

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