Tin Outlook

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Expert tin market insights

Our quarterly tin outlook is published in our Quarterly Metals Report, which covers base, precious and ferrous metals. The impact of supply and demand fundamentals and macroeconomic implications for the tin futures and spot prices are analysed. Our research team produce a tin price range forecast as part of the report.

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Tin Outlook – Q4 2022

China’s YTD imports of ore from Myanmar rose 22.6% Y/Y, but the quality of the ore has declined. Calendar spreads on the LME have narrowed as macro fears trigger a decline in consumption and semiconductor sales growth slowing. Destocking along the value chain in China and weak downstream sentiment have resulted in lower concentrate demand, but the open arb window has triggered increased refined imports. The increase of export restrictions on semiconductors and advanced chips to 31 new Chinese entities. We expect pressure to remain on spreads as consumption weakens, but power rationing could reduce operating rates are smelters...

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